The Basel Accords: The Implementation of II and the Modification of I

CRS Report for Congress
The Basel Accords: The Implementation of II and
the Modification of I
Updated June 16, 2006
Walter W. Eubanks
Specialist in Economic Policy
Government and Finance Division


Congressional Research Service ˜ The Library of Congress

The Basel Accords: The Implementation of II and the
Modification of I
Summary
Even though much has been clarified about the implementation of Basel II, the
new international capital standards for the U.S. banking system, uncertainty still
remains about how U.S. bank regulators will activate these more efficient capital
standards that the European Union (EU) is already implementing. On September 30,
2005, U.S. bank regulators announced they were revising plans for implementing the
Basel II framework for a small number of large banks. At around the same time, and
more important due to its potential impact on the vast majority of U.S. banks, U.S.
regulators published for comments an advance notice of proposed rulemaking
(ANPR) that would amend the existing Basel I regulatory capital rules. One of the
purposes of these modifications to Basel I is to address the competitive inequalities
that could have emerged from the implementation of Basel II rules for large banks
while smaller banks were operating under Basel I. The ANPR addresses some
research findings that suggest that Basel II could significantly lower the risk-based
regulatory capital requirements of the 10-20 larger Basel II banks, whereas smaller
banks would be operating under the higher capital requirements of Basel I.
The Basel II NPR and the Basel I ANPR are of interest to Congress for several
reasons. They would change the safety and soundness standards for U.S. banks, and
they may be the subject of legislation as well as require new regulatory oversight.
Moreover, they may have serious implications for the world’s financial system in
ways that could affect the U.S. economy. For such reasons, the United States
Financial Policy Committee for Fair Capital Standards Act (H.R. 1226) was
introduced in Congress on March 10, 2005. It would establish a mechanism for
developing U.S. positions on Basel Committee issues. U.S. banking regulators are
now reviewing comments on the ANPR. It remains undetermined as to whether
Basel II or Basel I changes will precede the other or occur simultaneously. These
developments remain subject to public comment and future agency decisions.
This report provides the basic information needed to understand the issues
surrounding the proposed implementation of Basel II and the pending proposed
modifications of Basel I in the United States. First, it gives a basic background on
capital standards and how capital assessments were made before these accords.
Second, it briefly explains how Basel I works. Third, it addresses the major problem
with Basel I and the modifications being considered. Fourth, it describes the Basel
II framework the United States may implement and the framework the EU is already
implementing. The report concludes with a section on Congress and the Basel
Accords.
This report will be updated as developments warrant.



Contents
In troduction ......................................................1
Capital ..........................................................3
The Leverage Ratio............................................4
Prompt Corrective Action (PCA)..................................4
Capital Requirements before Risk-Based Capital.....................5
Basel I and the Proposed Modifications................................6
Major Problems with Basel I.........................................7
Regulatory Arbitrage...........................................8
Risk Mitigation...............................................9
Operational Risk..............................................9
The Proposed Modifications of Basel I................................10
The Proposed Basel I Modifications..............................10
Taking Care of Risk Arbitrage...............................10
To Encourage Risk Mitigation...............................10
Mortgages ..............................................12
Retail Loans.............................................12
Other Assets.............................................13
The Basel II Capital Framework.....................................13
Pillar One...................................................14
Pillar Two...................................................14
Pillar Three..................................................15
Measuring Capital Adequacy for Credit Risk.......................16
The Standardized Approach.................................16
The Foundation Internal Ratings-Based (F-IRB) Approach........17
The Advanced Internal Ratings-Based (A-IRB) Approach.........17
Measuring Capital Adequacy for Operational Risk...................18
The Basic Indicator Approach...............................18
The Standardized Approach.................................18
The Advanced Measurement Approach (AMA).................18
Is Procyclicality No Longer a Concern? ...........................19
How the Accords Compare.....................................20
Remaining Concerns about Basel II...................................21
Cost and Complexity..........................................21
Market Competitiveness.......................................22
Congress and Basel II Implementation................................22



Figure 1. FDIC-Insured Bank Equity Capital, 1934-2004
(Percentage) ..................................................6
List of Tables
Table 1. Basel I Asset-Weighting Percentages...........................8
Table 2. Illustrative Risk Weights Based on External Ratings..............11
Table 3. Illustrative Risk Weights Based on Short-Term External Ratings....11
Table 4. Illustrative Risk Weights for First Lien on One- to Four-Family
Residential Mortgages (after consideration of PMI)..................12
Table 5. Minimum Capital Required for a $100.00 Commercial Loan Before
Basel I, After Basel I, and Under Basel II ..........................20



The Basel Accords: The Implementation of
II and the Modification of I
Introduction
After more than five years of consideration, some uncertainties remain about
how the Basel II capital accord will be implemented in the United States. Concerns
about the costs and complexity of Basel II appear to have led U.S. regulators to
propose that only 10-20 of the largest banks would be required to adopt Basel II.1
Other banks would be allowed to adopt Basel II on a voluntary basis. The rest of the
U.S. banking industry would be subject to a modified version of the existing Basel
I or Basel I itself. U.S. regulators plan to change the methods used to determine the
amount of regulatory capital banking institutions must hold. To this end, U.S.
regulators have issued rulemaking proposals in the process of implementing the new
Basel II capital accord and modifications of the Basel I capital accord under which
all federally regulated banks are currently operating. The Basel capital accords are
international regulatory safety and soundness2 agreements that provide a framework
for determining the minimum capital depository institutions must hold as a cushion
against insolvency. Without a financial institution holding this minimum amount of
capital backing, the regulators would not permit it to conduct normal banking
business for risk of bankruptcy and the possible need for government financial
rescue. For this reason, this minimum capital is called regulatory capital. In
addition, these accords are “risk-based standards” that require banks to hold more
capital as their asset profiles become more risky.
On September 30, 2005, U.S. bank regulators (the agency3) announced in a
notice of proposed rulemaking (NPR) that they were revising plans for implementing
the Basel II framework in the United States. Due to the agency’s desire to increase
the risk sensitivity of the Basel I-based rules, the agency published at the same time
(October 6, 2005), for comments, an advance notice of proposed rulemaking (ANPR)
that would amend the existing Basel I regulatory capital rules. The purpose of these


1 The regulators expect that a subset of about 10 large international banks would be required
to adopt Basel II as a result of meeting the criteria for mandatory adoption. Other large
banks would be allowed to opt in to Basel II if they meet the requirements.
2 For more on safety and soundness, See CRS Report RL33036, Federal Financial Services
Regulatory Consolidation: An Overview, by Walter W. Eubanks.
3 U.S. federal banking regulators are the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC),
the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), the Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System (Fed) and the Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS). As a group, they referred
to themselves as the “Agencies” for years. More recently, they have been referring to
themselves as just the “agency.” Consequently, throughout this report both terms are used
to refer to these federal regulators.

proposed modifications to Basel I is, in part, to address the competitive inequalities
that could have emerged from the implementation of Basel II rules for large banks
while smaller banks were operating under Basel I. These Basel I modifications seek
to enhance the risk sensitivity of Basel I, and thus bank safety and soundness, while
avoiding undue complexity and regulatory burdens. Another expected benefit of
these modifications is that they will reduce regulatory capital held on certain assets.
The ANPR addresses research findings that suggest that Basel II could lower the
capital standards on the large banks adopting Basel II.4
The Basel II NPR and the Basel I ANPR are of interest to Congress for several
reasons. They would change the safety and soundness standards for U.S. banks, and
these regulatory changes may be the subject of legislation as well as require new
regulatory oversight. Moreover, these changes might have serious implications for
the world’s financial system in ways that would affect the U.S. economy. For these
reasons, the United States Financial Policy Committee for Fair Capital Standards Act
(H.R. 1226) was introduced in Congress on March 10, 2005. It would establish a
mechanism for developing U.S. positions on Basel Committee issues. The agency
is now reviewing comments on the ANPR regarding modification to Basel I.5
The name, Basel Accord, comes from Basel, Switzerland, the home of the Bank
for International Settlements (BIS). In 1974, BIS established the Basel Committee
on Banking Supervision, made up of representatives from the monetary authorities
of 13 countries — Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Luxembourg, the
Netherlands, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, the United Kingdom, and the United States
— to consider capital adequacy issues and find practical ways to determine and
mitigate bank risk, given different national systems of supervision and deposit
insurance. The first accord, Basel I, was adopted in 1988, and is credited with
improving stability of the international banking system, both through defining
consistent safety and soundness standards, and by promoting better coordination
among financial regulators and supervisors in participating nations.
Financial regulators in the United States and other industrial countries have
recognized that Basel I is insufficiently sensitive in measuring the risks and
determining the minimum regulatory capital needs of today’s increasingly complex
and dynamic banking operations. Consequently, a new accord (Basel II) has been
negotiated. Prior to the actions of the agency on September 30, 2005, the federal
bank regulatory agencies set forth in 2004 the following implementation schedule for
Basel II: Midyear 2005, the NPR and updated guidance are to be published. Midyear
2006, the final rule and updated guidance were to be published. And, in January
2007, the “parallel runs” of the Basel I and II frameworks are to begin. Given the
results, the final regulations for Basel II in the United States are to be published in
January 2008.


4 Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, “Summary Findings of the Fourth
Quantitative Impact Study,” April 29, 2005, p. 8.
5 R. Christian Bruce, “Implement Basel I Rewrite First, ABA Says, Urging Bank Agencies
to Speed Up Revision,” BNA Banking Report, June 6, 2005, p. 995.

Although there is still no schedule for implementation of the modified Basel I,
on September 30, 2005, the agency announced a revised schedule for implementing
Basel II, delaying the implementation at least one year. In this announcement, the
regulators proposed to subject all institutions adopting Basel II to a minimum three-
year transition from Basel I to Basel II. Moreover, adopting institutions are subject
to an annual floor below which they cannot reduce their regulatory capital. The
“parallel runs” of the Basel I and Basel II frameworks are to begin in January 2008.
In January 2009, the most by which a Basel II-adopting institution may lower its
minimum regulatory capital is 5% of what the same bank would be required to hold
if it did not adopt Basel II. In 2010, the maximum reduction is 10%. Finally, in
2011, the maximum reduction is 15%.6 Thus, in this transition period, the maximum
advantage Basel II banks may have over Basel I banks is 15% less regulatory capital,
according to this schedule.7
Capital
In general, capital is the owners’ investment in an institution, and it rises and
falls with the book value of an institution’s assets.8 The more capital a bank has, the
greater the cushion it has against insolvency. Thus, regulators who guard the
financial systems of their countries have an interest in the amount of risk the banks
take on and require the owners to hold some minimum level of capital — their own
resources — at risk, to avoid failures or taxpayer-funded rescues.9 Capital is costly,
however, in part because it restricts the amount of profitable activities in which a
bank may engage. Thus, owners often have an interest in maintaining a low amount
of capital, and in the absence of supervisory disincentives that amount could be lower
(and the risk taken higher) than the level the government regulators mandate for10
safety and soundness. The Basel Accords are attempts to base capital requirements
on risks taken and thereby align institutions’ profit incentives with their own safety
and soundness, apart from any national supports, insurance, or guarantees.
Whether or not regulatory minimum capital requirements actually affect a
banking institution’s investment decision making depends on whether or not the
minimum regulatory capital requirements are binding. That is, investment decisions


6 Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, “Banking Agencies Announce Revised
Plan for Implementation of Basel II Framework,” NR 2005-99, Sept. 30, 2005, p. 2.
7 R. Christian Bruce, “Implement Basel I Rewrite First, ABA Says, Urging Bank Agencies
to Speed Up Revision,” BNA Banking Report, June 6, 2005, p. 995.
8 The value of the capital is only realized when assets are written off.
9 Capital requirements are not to be confused with reserve requirements. Minimum reserve
requirements pertain to the amount of cash a depository institution must hold in relationship
to deposits (in the form of loans) outstanding to assure liquidity, and for monetary policy
purposes. Minimum capital requirements pertain to owners’ investment in the firm and are
relevant to solvency.
10 By the same token, a sudden, large drop in the owners’ capital in the institution often
reduces the creditworthiness of the bank and thus raises the borrowing costs to the bank in
acquiring new assets.

rest on the capital charge for that investment. Economic capital, on the other hand,
is the capital that a bank would maintain in the absence of any regulatory capital to
cover losses in extreme or unlikely situations in order for the bank to survive. If the
regulatory capital requirement is lower than the economic capital held by the
institution, then the regulatory capital requirement is not binding. The institution
could make portfolio investment decisions independently of the regulatory capital
requirement. On the other hand, if the regulatory capital standards are above the
economic capital, then the institution’s portfolio asset selections will be constrained
by the regulatory capital requirements. The regulatory capital requirement is binding.
Regulators and institutions prefer to have the economic capital higher than the
regulatory capital requirement, allowing investment decisions to be made without
regulatory capital requirement playing a constraining role.
The Leverage Ratio
In the post-1988 U.S. banking history, the leverage ratio has been a key
regulatory tool and is expected to continue to be a key behind-the-scenes tool when
Basel II and the modified Basel I are implemented. The leverage ratio plays a
significant role in limiting institutions’ ability to acquire assets because it restricts the
amount of assets achievable given the amount of capital available. U.S. regulators
require banks to maintain a minimum leverage ratio. The leverage ratio is the
amount the owners have invested in the bank (equity) divided by the value of a
bank’s total assets. For example, at the margin, if the bank invests in a $1,000 project
using $200 of its own money and borrows $800, the leverage ratio is 20%. The
lower the leverage ratio the greater the returns on the investment, but also the greater
the risk.11 In this case, if the bank regulator sets a minimum leverage ratio at 50%,
this project might not be undertaken because the leverage ratio increases the amount
of capital that must be held against the portfolio. (In reality, the minimum leverage
ratios are much lower than in this example.)
Prompt Corrective Action (PCA)
Under the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Improvement Act of 1991
(FDICIA, P.L. 102-242) Congress mandated that regulators require prompt corrective
action when a bank’s minimum leverage ratio falls below 3%, or 4%, depending on
the type of banking institution. That is, banks must maintain the equivalent of at
least 3% of their financing in the form of core capital (equity). Institutions that are
below this ratio are to be ordered by their primary regulator to take mandatory action


11 In this example, let’s assume the project is equally likely to pay either $1200.00 or
$1500.00 at the end of the year. That means the return on the investment is either 20% or
50%. So the expected return is 35%. The standard error of the return, a measure of risk, is
15% (the unbiased estimate is 21.2). If, on the other hand, the bank decides to finance the
investment with $200 of its own money and with $800 borrowed at 10% interest (leverage),
then expected return and its risk are altered. The bank’s return after paying off the debt is
now either $1200-$880 = $320 or $1500-$880 = $620. The expected return on the bank’s
$200 is either 60% or 210% for an expected return of 135%. The standard error of the
return is 75% (unbiased estimate is 106.1%). Both the expected return and the risk
increased dramatically with leverage. The leverage ratio is 5. The risks of this investment
went from 15% to 75% by borrowing 80% of the cost of funding at 10%.

to rebuild their capital. If capital levels and ratios are not restored to standard, it
could lead to regulators taking punitive action and even placing the bank in
conservatorship to avoid a failure or lower the rescue costs in the event of failure.
Even though Basel II and the proposed modifications of Basel I are far more
sophisticated tools than the leverage ratio and its enforcement through PCA, U.S.
regulators do not plan to remove the leverage ratio from their toolbox. Used as a
trigger for intervention, the leverage ratio limits the opportunity for bank supervisors
to practice forbearance toward undercapitalized banks.
Capital Requirements before Risk-Based Capital
In the United States prior to the 1980s, there was no formal numerical standard
or across-the-board capital regulation in effect. Instead, regulators assessed capital-
asset ratios on a case-by-case basis. In those times, the bank regulators’ judgments
on the quality of management (based on observing decision-making processes and
results), the nature of investment portfolios, and the economic environment were
critical to determining the level of capital a bank was required to maintain. The
regulatory determination was essential because the advent of deposit insurance in the

1930s lowered the need for bank capital.12 That is, because depositors were insured,


they did not need to closely monitor the safety and soundness of a bank. Knowing
that most depositors had no reason to worry about getting their funds returned to
them in the event of a bank failure, the bank owners could take greater risks, and reap
greater rewards, with no concern that depositors would withdraw funds. The
somewhat ironic result of deposit insurance was that capital-asset ratios for all banks
experienced a long historical decline until the end of World War II and then moved
in a narrow range until the mid-1980s, as shown in Figure 1.
Bank examiners’ strict enforcement of capital requirements in the 1950-1970
period played a major role in maintaining bank safety. However, in the late 1970s,
even as bank failures began to grow along with discussions of interest rate
deregulation,13 regulators allowed bank capital ratios to remain steady at near
historically low levels, while economic conditions deteriorated. By 1981, declining
bank capital raised the specter of multiple bank failures. Since one way to lower the
risk of failure is to raise capital, two regulators, the Federal Reserve Board and the
Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, announced that they were raising capital
requirements. They raised them still higher in 1983 in view of congressional
recognition of the problem large U.S. banks had with nonperforming Third World14
loans (P.L. 98-181, Title IX). The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation adopted


12 Trade-offs between capital adequacy and deposit insurance in financial terms are
examined in Alex J. Pollock, “Cheap Capital: Call It Deposit Insurance,” American Banker,
June 5, 1991, p. 4.
13 See CRS Report RL30816, The Anticipated Effects of Depository Institutions Paying
Interest on Checking Accounts, by Walter W. Eubanks, for a discussion of interest rate
deregulation and safety and soundness of depository institutions.
14 See U.S. Congress, House Committee on Banking, Finance, and Urban Affairs, Task
Force on the International Competitiveness of U.S. Financial Institutions, The Basel Accord,stnd
101 Cong., 2 sess., H.Rept. 101-7 (Washington: GPO, 1991), pp. 318-322. At the same
(continued...)

an identical standard in 1985. Bank capital rose in response to the new standards.
But it was not until after full implementation of Basel I in the early 1990s, and the
failures and shutdowns of undercapitalized banks in the 1980s and early 1990s, that
capital ratios rose rapidly. By the end of 2002, bank equity capital was up to 9.2%
of total assets, or almost $780 billion. Capital for FDIC-insured banks reached

10.3%, or $1.1 trillion, by 2005.15


Figure 1. FDIC-Insured Bank Equity Capital, 1934-2004
(P ercenta ge)


Source: FDIC 2005 Annual Report. Appendix A, p. 107. [http://www.fdic.gov/about/strategic/report/
2005annua l r e p o r t / a r 0 5 fi na l . p d f] .
Basel I and the Proposed Modifications
The current Basel I Capital Accord was published in July 1988 and fully
implemented in the United States by the end of 1992. Even though U.S. banking
regulators began implementing Basel I in 1988, Basel I did not become recognized
in U.S. banking law until 1991 when the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation
Improvement Act of 1991 (FDICIA)16 was adopted. Under Basel I, the capital that
is held against a bank’s assets can be of two components — core (“tier 1”) capital
and supplementary (“tier 2”) capital. Core capital consists of common shareholders’
14 (...continued)
time bank capital requirements were being raised, regulators for the distressed savings and
loan industry were lowering them to avoid having to close failures and pay off depositors
— a practice known as forbearance. The ultimate losses were much higher as a result.
15 See [http://www2.fdic.gov/qbp/2005dec/all2a.html] and [http://www2.fdic.gov/qbp/

2005dec/all3a1.html ].


16 105 Stat. 2236. § 481 implicitly endorsed Basel I.

equity (issued and fully paid), most retained earnings, and certain perpetual
noncumulative preferred stocks. Supplementary capital includes subordinated debt,
limited-life preferred stocks, and loan loss reserves up to 1.25% of the risk-weighted
asset.17 These two components must sum to the overall minimum capital requirement
of 8% of a bank’s risk-weighted assets.
Basel I standards are also roughly risk based: banks must hold more core and
supplementary capital against assets deemed riskier and may hold less against assets
deemed safer. The accord divides bank assets into categories, or “buckets,” and
applies risk weights to each bucket. Table 1 lists the main buckets. An asset with
a 100% weight requires 8% capital. For example, unsecured corporate and consumer
loans have a weight of 100%, meaning that the bank must hold capital equivalent to
8% of their value. At the low extreme, cash, and debt due from or guaranteed by an
Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) member
government, carries a bucket weight of zero, meaning that no capital is required for
such investments.
In short, Basel I transformed capital regulation into a system of weighted risk
categories, or buckets, applied to all U.S. banks. This framework for risk-based
capital adequacy is currently used by 110 countries. It strengthened the stability of
the international banking system because it required most banks to raise their level
of capital at the time it was introduced. Most importantly for purposes of
international trade and investment flows, it helped to remove a source of competitive
inequality among banks that varied dramatically from nation to nation.
Major Problems with Basel I
Most arguments for switching from Basel I are based on the observation that
Basel I’s “bucket” system is overly simple, leads to inefficient uses of capital, and
does not necessarily lower the costs of bank failures. Technological advances in
communications and finance, combined with geographical and financial instrument
diversification and global market integration, have made banking systems too
dynamic and complex for the 1980s-style Basel I to be efficient. Large,
internationally active banks now use far more complex risk models and have
developed advanced reserve and capital management techniques. In this rapidly
changing environment, the Basel I framework is said to be unable to yield accurate
or timely information on major banks’ safety and soundness. Three specific
problems have effectively undermined Basel I: insufficient recognition of risk
mitigation techniques, regulatory arbitrage, and a perceived increase of operational
risk. None is adequately accounted for in Basel I. Consequently, banks tend to hold
inappropriate levels of regulatory capital given the riskiness of their assets — in
some cases, regulatory capital is insufficient, in others it is excessive.


17 Goodwill — an accounting construct measuring the market value of a bank’s reputation
and a major point of contention in the savings and loan failures — is not included in any
capital.

Table 1. Basel I Asset-Weighting Percentages
Percentage of the
regulatory capitalPercentage of asset
requirement required to beMajor asset categories or buckets
100% weight = 8%financed by capital
capital
ZeroZeroCash; amounts due from central banks;
claims guaranteed by OECD-member
central governments; gold.
20%1.6%Assets collateralized by government
securities or conditionally guaranteed
by central governments; claims on
depository institutions; cash in process
of collection; guarantees of public-
sector entities (including government-
sponsored enterprises).
50%4%Revenue bonds; credit equivalents of
interest rate and exchange rate contracts
that are off-balance-sheet items;
residential first mortgages.
100%8%All other claims on private obligators
[bonds]; business and consumer loans;
government obligations paid solely by
private parties; fixed assets and real
estate; investments in subsidiaries; all
other assets generally.
200%16%Asset-backed securities with a BB
rating for an NRSRO.
Source: CRS summary of the regulations set forth in 12 C.F.R Part 3. The actual categories are very
detailed and have been modified over time.
Regulatory Arbitrage
The idea behind risk-weighted capital rules is to link capital to riskiness and,
thus, enable institutions to price assets according to their riskiness. Economically,
the higher the quality of a loan or investment, the lower the return. If risk-weighting
is accurate, there is an incentive to invest in high-quality, low-risk assets. On the
other hand, because of the higher capital requirements for undertaking risky
investments, the banks must raise their price to justify such investments. Under the
Basel I framework, however, because of the limited number of categories, banks have
an incentive to take on higher risk assets within each very broad bucket, without
shifting into a higher capital-consuming bucket. This is called “regulatory arbitrage,”
or “gaming the system.” For example, usually investors distinguish among
commercial loans by demanding higher yields for higher risks. Basel I’s bucket
approach does not. It places a capital charge of 8% on all commercial loans, even
though a triple A-rated commercial loan carries a lower yield than a B-rated one.



Since both loans carry the same capital charge, Basel I gives the bank an incentive
to carry more B-rated than triple A-rated commercial loans because they have higher
yields with the same capital charge. For greater profits, banks are likely to sell triple
A-rated loans to acquire higher-yielding B-rated, or even lower-rated, loans.
Risk Mitigation
Risk mitigation is an internal step banks can take to control their risks. Many
prudently managed banks take credit (and interest rate and other) risk mitigating
measures by investing in offsetting assets such as loan insurance, derivative hedges,
collateral liens, and other protections from losses. Under Basel I, acquiring an asset
whose risk of default decreases as another asset’s default risk increases would
increase a bank’s capital requirement, even though the bank is sounder as a result of
having assets with these offsetting characteristics in its portfolio. Risk mitigation is
more easily accomplished in today’s markets because a smaller portion of large
banks’ portfolios consists of loans, and a growing portion is now tradable instruments
related to interest rates, equities, commodities, currencies, and government and
corporate securities. Risk mitigating techniques are much more effective using these
tradable instruments than adjusting loan portfolios.
Operational Risk
Operational risks can produce losses resulting from inadequate or failed internal
processes, people, and systems, or from external events including legal and
compliance-related risks. Operational risks include poor accounting, lapses of
governance controls, settlement failures, poor or fraudulent managers and traders,
and security and process failures. Despite the fact that some of these risks are
captured under credit risk, operational risks have historically played major roles in
depleting capital from failed banks which have met the minimum credit-risk-based
requirements. Operational risk is a major cause of bank failures. It is not, however,
explicitly taken into account in Basel I. Fraud contributed to eight of the 11 U.S.
bank failures in 2002 and was the direct cause of failure in several of these cases.
There is considerable controversy over how to assess a capital charge for operational
risk because it is not clear how such a charge would be quantified. The general
approach for most corporations is to require sufficient risk-reducing activity so that18
fraud has a better chance of being detected. For other regulated U.S. financial
corporations, explicit capital charges are required as an “add-on” to all other capital19
charges. The lack of such charges in Basel I is considered to be a serious omission.


18 This is the approach of the Securities and Exchange Commission, for example,
particularly in implementing the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 (P.L. 107-204).
19 This is the approach taken by the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight with
respect to the large housing government-sponsored enterprises.

The Proposed Modifications of Basel I
Even though the problems with Basel I were well known to the agency, it was
willing to keep most banks operating under the Basel I framework because of
recognition that the costs would likely outweigh the benefits of Basel II for all but the20
largest, most complex banks. Nevertheless, to mitigate any potential competitive
effects of Basel II and to improve the risk sensitivity of the current Basel I-based
capital rules, the agency issued the ANPR to seek comment on possible changes to
the Basel I rules. As Federal Reserve Governor Bies said, “The ANPR reflects our
attempt to mitigate some of the consequences arising from differences between Basel
I and Basel II, while acknowledging that simpler capital rules are still appropriate for
nearly all U.S. banking organizations. To be quite clear, the Federal Reserve will not
look upon institutions as having deficient risk-management systems simply because21
they choose to stay under the Basel I framework.” Moreover, the ANPR proposes
no change in the leverage ratio or prompt corrective action, nor does it propose
introducing operational risk provisions for Basel I banks, arguing that operational
risk is implicitly covered by the Basel I risk-based framework.
The Proposed Basel I Modifications
Taking Care of Risk Arbitrage. To address the problem of regulatory
arbitrage, the ANPR would increase the number of risk-weight categories. Table 1
shows that Basel I now has five risk-weight categories — zero, 20%, 50%, 100%,
and 200% — which limit the differentiation of credit quality. The ANPR suggests
four additional categories: 35%, 75%, 150%, and 350%. The increased number of
categories should improve risk sensitivity. Banks will have more categories in
which to place assets based on their riskiness, thereby reducing the possibility of
placing a risky asset in a category which requires less capital than should be
prudently held against the asset. Even though the additional categories increase the
accuracy of assigning the appropriate regulatory capital to the riskiness of asset
default, this method is not likely to be as accurate as the Basel II framework, and
therefore is not expected to give the same result as Basel II. The ANPR would allow
banks to use external credit ratings in determining the riskiness of certain assets, such
as revenue bonds. Based on the rating of a nationally recognized statistical rating
organization (NRSRO), such as Standard and Poor’s Corporation (S&P) or Moody’s
Investment Services (Moody’s), a bank may assign a weight of 20%, 35%, or 50%
to a revenue bond if the NRSRO gives the securities a rating of AAA, A, or BBB+,
respectively (see Table 2). Under Basel I, this same bond would have to be given a

50% risk weight (See Table I).


To Encourage Risk Mitigation. The ANPR would expand the agency’s
recognition of financial collateral and guarantors. Under the existing Basel I, the


20 Since its original implementation, the Basel I rules have been modified 26 times in
recognition of some of its shortcommings.
21 Remarks by Susan Schmidt Bies, “Recent Development in Regulatory Capital,” at the
S&P’s North American Financial Institution Conference, New York, Nov. 30, 2005, p. 2.
[ ht t p: / / www.f e der a l r eser ve .gov/ boar ddocs/ speeches/ 2005/ 20051130/ def a ul t .ht m] .

agency recognizes as collateral, (1) cash on deposit at banking institutions, and (2)
securities issued or guaranteed by central governments of OECD countries, U.S.
government agencies, U.S. government-sponsored enterprises, and multilateral
lending institutions. The ANPR would recognize more forms of assets used as
collateral, including short- or long-term debt securities that are externally rated as at
least investment grade by an NRSRO. The NRSRO-rated debt securities would be
assigned to a risk-weight category as shown below in Tables 2 and 3. For example,
a collateralized asset with a BBB+ rating would be assigned to the 50% risk-weight
category.
Table 2. Illustrative Risk Weights Based on External Ratings
Long-term rating categoriesExamplesRisk weights
Highest two investment grade ratingsAAA/AA20%
Third-highest investment grade ratingA35%
Third-lowest investment grade ratingBBB+50%
Second-lowest investment grade rating BBB75%
Lowest-investment grade ratingBBB-100%
One category below investment gradeBB+, BB, BB-200%
Two or more categories below gradeB and Lower350%
Source: The Agencies, October 6, 2005, ANPR, pp. 9-10.
Table 3. Illustrative Risk Weights Based on Short-Term
External Ratings
Short-term rating categoryExamplesRisk weights
Highest investment grade ratingA-120%
Second-highest investment grade ratingA-235%
Lowest investment grade ratingA-375%
Source: The Agencies, October 6, 2005, ANPR, pp. 9-10.
Similarly, under the current Basel I, there is only limited recognition of
guarantees provided by independent third parties. The guarantees that Basel I
recognizes are only those offered by the institutions listed in the previous paragraph.
The agency would expand the recognition of guarantors to any entity whose long-
term senior debt has been assigned an external credit rating of at least investment
grade by an NRSRO. The agency would use the same weighting system that is used
to prevent risk arbitrage and support risk mitigation, shown in Table 2 for long-term



rating categories and Table 3 for the short-term categories.22 Note that ratings in
these tables are S&P.
Mortgages. One important modification of Basel I addresses mortgages, a
significant category of assets in the portfolios of banks. As Table 1 shows, first- lien
residential mortgages (which are one- to four-family mortgages) get a 50% risk-
weight rating. The banking industry has argued that the one-size-fits-all 4% capital
requirement is excessive in many cases. The agency in this ANPR suggests
switching to a collateral-based method of assigning risk weights to the first lien on
one- to four-family mortgages. Using the loan-to-value ratio (LTV) to determine
risk-based capital requirements is suggested.
Table 4. Illustrative Risk Weights for First Lien on One- to Four-
Family Residential Mortgages (after consideration of PMI)
LTV ratioRisk weights

91-100%100%


81-90%50%


61-80%35%


#60%20%
Source: The Agencies, October 6, 2005, ANPR, p. 14.
This approach would be using data that is already used in the loan approval
process. However, the banking institution would have to consider assigning the risk
weight after taking into account the private mortgage insurance (PMI) that is
provided by an insurer with an NRSRO-issued long-term debt rating of a single A or
higher. Because the agency argued that a blanket acceptance of PMI may overstate
its ability to effectively mitigate risk, especially on higher-risk loans and novel
products, the agency could place risk-weight floors on mortgages with PMI. That
would limit the risk-lowering ability of private mortgage insurance.
On multifamily residential mortgages, the agency plans to maintain the 100%
risk weight currently assigned to these mortgages under Basel I. Many multifamily
mortgages currently get a 50% risk weight. However, the Agency is considering
modifying the risk-based rules to lower the capital requirement for multifamily
residential mortgages. One consideration is to be sensitive to the loan size relative to
the value of the collateral position, and the history of the loan performance. The
more favorable these factors are the more likely the mortgages will be permitted to
carry a risk weight lower than 100%.
Retail Loans. Retail exposures such as consumer loans, credit card, and
automobile loans currently get a risk weight of 100% under Basel I. The agency is


22 See the Agencies, Risk-Based Capital Guidelines; Capital Adequacy Guidelines; Capital
Maintenance: Domestic Capital Modifications, Joint Advance Notice of Proposed
Rulemaking (ANPR). Oct. 6, 2005, p. 6. [http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/
press/bcreg/2005/20051020/attachment.pdf ].

considering allowing banks to use a more risk-sensitive approach to determining the
required capital for these assets. Banks would determine the amount of capital they
have to hold by using the borrowers’ credit scores or the borrowers’ ability to service
these types of debt. Banks would be allowed to hold less regulatory capital against
consumer loans and credit card debt extended to borrowers with higher credit scores
and collateral.
Other Assets. The ANPR suggests ways to improve the risk sensitivity used
in determining the regulatory capital for the following types of assets: commercial
real estate, small business loans, short-term commitments such as asset-backed
commercial paper (ABCP), and early amortization. Under the current Basel I
framework, all these other types of assets are assigned a fixed risk weight (or a fixed
credit conversion factor (CCF)) to take them from off-balance-sheet receivables to
on-balance-sheet receivables. The agency seeks comment on whether to remove
these assets from the one-size-fits-all measurement to a system where the
characteristics of the asset determine the risk weight assigned to it. For example, a
small business loan that is now assigned a risk weight of 100% under Basel I, could
be assigned a risk weight of 75% if its credit risk is mitigated by acceptable
collateral, and if the loan would fully amortize within seven years. On the other
hand, short term commitments, such as asset-backed commercial paper now has a
credit conversion factor of zero. That means that banks can extend this short-term
credit commitment without holding any risk-based capital against the inherent risk
exposure. The agency is considering whether to apply a 10% CCF to short-term
commitments.
In sum, with the exception of operational risk, the proposed modifications of
Basel I explicitly address the key problems with this framework by increasing the
sensitivity of the framework to changes in risk. The agency’s omission of provisions
to incorporate operational risk in this ANPR suggests that regulators believe the
regulatory capital required for operational risk is implicitly captured in the provisions
for credit risk. The ANPR relies heavily on external ratings of borrowers’
creditworthiness. NRSROs play a critical role in assigning risk weight to bank
assets, such as corporate and municipal bonds. For mortgages, loan-to-value ratios
are expected to play a dominant role in determining the risk weight assigned to
mortgages as the ANPR stands.
The Basel II Capital Framework
Before discussing the version of Basel II that the United States plans to
implement, it may be helpful to briefly outline the overall Basel II capital framework
that is being implemented in other industrialized countries. Between 1992 and 2001,
numerous new and old risk-based capital questions related to risk management and
supervision were put to the Basel Committee on bank supervision. The committee’s
cumulative responses are presented in the form of Basel II. The expectation is that
for some banks Basel II will replace the current Basel I capital accord beginning in
January 2007. The Basel II capital accord is to improve safety and soundness by
being a more comprehensive framework which is more accurately sensitive to risk
and, therefore, able to adjust measures of capital adequacy to risk more accurately



than the current framework. It also represents a shift in regulatory philosophy toward
greater use of market signals in determining the adequacy of capital. Basel II has
three reinforcing principles, known as “pillars.” For measurement, Basel II has three
methods to calculate capital adequacy — the standardized, foundation, and advanced
approaches, which are discussed after its three pillars
Pillar One
The first pillar is the minimum capital requirement, which may be seen as
essentially an improved Basel I. It is the rule a bank uses to calculate its per-loan
minimum risk-based required capital, taking explicitly into account each loan’s
unique credit risk.23 For example, unlike the bucket approach of Basel I where all
assets in a bucket — such as commercial loans — are assigned the same specific risk
weights, in Basel II a commercial loan with a “triple A” rating is assigned a lower
risk weight than a B-rated commercial loan. Other types of loans are also
differentiated according to their perceived risk. The specific risk of the loan or
exposure is estimated by the bank and is validated by its regulators. Thus, the pillar
one refinements specifically take into account and correct for the Basel I problems
with regulatory arbitrage. Basel II also takes into account risk mitigation measures
taken in bank assets. While the capital requirement is determined for each asset, risk-
offset relationships that can be demonstrated to the satisfaction of the regulators will
reduce risk-based capital requirements.
In addition to credit risk, pillar one explicitly accounts for operational risk.
Banks using the basic indicator approach must hold capital for operational risk equal
to the average over the previous three years of a fixed percentage of positive annual
gross income. Figures for any years of zero or negative annual gross income should
be excluded from both the numerator and the denominator in this calculation. Basel
II also includes advanced measurement approaches to operational risk under which
a bank uses an internal model to determine its risk-based capital requirement for
operational risk. Some have argued that operational risk is already included in the
credit-risk-based calculations. Others have argued that the capital charge for
operational risk should be at the discretion of bank supervisors and therefore not an
explicit universal requirement. Furthermore, other analysts argued that a capital
charge for operational risk does not necessarily mitigate operational risk itself,
because it is not directly linked to operationally risky behavior. Operationally risky
behavior may be only indirectly countered by the supervisory review process and
market disclosure of bank operations.
Pillar Two
The second pillar focuses on bank supervisory judgments. It is the supervisory
review process, which is less tangible than pillar one, but somewhat more
determinable than in the pre-Basel era. Pillar two requires banks to maintain internal
assessments of risks relative to capital. This is a process rather than a static
quantitative assessment as in pillar one. Pillar two is a dynamic requirement that


23 This is the risk that a borrower fails to make the contractual payments on a timely basis
or fails to fully discharge the terms of the contract.

risk and capital self-evaluations must take place over the business cycle as well as in
a period of noncyclical stress.24 This is also a component of pillar one. The bank
supervisory agencies have a key role to play under this pillar. The agencies must
assess the institutions’ validation of the methodology and processes used in these
bank self-examinations. “The supervisory review process of the framework is
intended not only to ensure that banks have adequate capital to support all the risks
in their business but also to encourage banks to develop and use better risk
management techniques in monitoring and managing risk.”25
Under pillar two the supervisory review provides the opportunity to consider
risk management in more detail. For example, credit risk concentration, the
treatment of interest rate risk in the banking book, and business and strategic risk,
which are not covered under pillar one, are transparently examined in a supervisory
controlled environment under pillar two. Validation of risk management
mechanisms and accountability of determinations concerning stress testing, and
residual risk take place under pillar two.
Pillar Three
The third pillar represents a change from previous safety and soundness rules:
bank supervisory use of market signals and market discipline. Pillar three is a set of
public information disclosure requirements that a bank must make about itself. These
disclosures are said to enable creditors and investors in financial markets to assess
a bank’s risk posture accurately and adjust borrowing and capital costs accordingly.
The idea behind this requirement is to bring market discipline to bear so that bank
management and their regulators have an incentive to adopt strong safety and
soundness practices. Comparison across banking institutions could be more easily
made by depositors and investors, as well as regulators. This knowledge, in turn,
would affect the willingness of investors to invest.
The degree of disclosure is constrained by the enforcement powers of the
regulatory agency, which varies from country to country. Basel II suggests that the
supervisory agencies use moral suasion for reprimands and financial penalties to
bring about necessary disclosures. While the disclosure requirement does not
conflict with requirements regarding accounting standards, the Basel II requirements
are more narrowly focused. Banks and their supervisors must decide to disclose
information upon which users can rely to make economic decisions regarding these
institutions. Yet, Basel II does not set a benchmark for achieving sufficient
disclosure. Disclosure of credit risk is of two types: qualitative and quantitative.
The qualitative disclosures are information concerning the condition of the
establishment, such as the top corporate entities to which Basel II applies.


24 Business cycle stresses are shocks, for example, that can be attributed to fluctuations in
the economy, while noncyclical stresses, which may be correlated with the cyclical
components, are those that are not attributable to such fluctuations, such as interest rate risk
and other exogenous changes.
25 Bank for International Settlements, Basel Committee on Bank Supervision, International
Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standard, A Revised Framework, June

2004, p. 158.



Qualitative disclosure would include the roles of the entities within the group and the
type of restrictions on transferring capital within the group. A description of the
capital structure addresses specific risk issues, such as credit, market, and interest
rate risks. Pillar three would also seek disclosure of the banks’ risk exposure and
assessment. Quantitative disclosures such as the banks’ tier one and total capital
adequacy ratio and their components must be made public on a periodic basis. If risk
exposure or other critical factors change in the interim, the bank should disclose such
information as soon as practicable and not later than the deadlines set.
Measuring Capital Adequacy for Credit Risk
In the United States, the agency has already proposed to implement only one of
the three approaches Basel II offers to measure bank capital adequacy, described
below — the advanced internal ratings-based (A-IRB) approaches. To the extent that
Basel II is more risk sensitive than Basel I, the modifications the agency plans to
make to Basel I are expected to bring these two methods of determining regulatory
capital closer together in terms of competitive impact on banks in the United States.
However, the ANPR seeks comment on whether to allow banks that are not subject
to Basel II on a mandatory basis to continue to use the current Basel I. Other
countries sticking to the original Basel II framework are offered three approaches as
well. The three approaches to calculating the minimum allowable regulatory capital
under Basel II are the standardized approach, the foundation internal ratings-based
approach (F-IRB), and the advanced internal ratings-based approach (A-IRB). The
Basel II approaches are all more risk sensitive than Basel I.
The Standardized Approach. The standard approach is very close to the
calculus under Basel I. Under this approach, to calculate the capital requirement of
a bank’s asset, the total exposure to losses from an asset is multiplied by the
supervisory-determined risk weight. Compared to Basel I, the major differences are
that capital required for credit risk is no longer capped at 8% when the risk weighting
equals 100%, and the standard moves away from the uniform 100% risk weights for
all corporate credits. A corporate claim could receive a risk weight of 20%, 40%,
100%, or 150% depending on its external credit rating. There are at least five other
modifications in the weighting structure, including retail lending, residential
properties, and commercial real estate.26 The general notion is that degree of
riskiness can be more finely differentiated under Basel II. In many aspects the
national supervisory agency is given some latitude in applying the standardized
approach to its banks. However, in other aspects, Basel II specifies clear limits. For
example, risk mitigation efforts cannot reduce capital requirements to less than 20%.
The modifications of Basel I proposed by the regulators are almost identical to
the standardized approach. However, it is not known if the modified Basel I will be
implemented simultaneously with Basel II. Furthermore, established NRSROs have
played a critical role in assigning risk weights to bank assets, such as corporate and
municipal bonds. There are questions about the existence of similar organizations
in many other countries.


26 Bank for International Settlements, International Convergence of Capital Measurement
and Capital Standards, June 2004, pp. 15-47.

The Foundation Internal Ratings-Based (F-IRB) Approach. U.S. bank
regulators have also not proposed to adopt the foundation internal ratings-based
approach. However, foreign competitors to U.S. banks may be allowed to use this
method. For this approach, banks must meet stringent qualifying criteria. National
supervisors would use quantitative as well as qualitative measures to determine
which banks may apply the F-IRB approach. The evaluative process would include
rating system design, risk-rating system operation, corporate governance, and most
critically, validation of internal estimates. In this approach, regulatory capital is
determined by a bank’s own assessment of the risk of default on each of its assets
based on its own data and methodology, and certain supervisorily determined risk
parameters. The first is the probability of default (PD) of each asset. Next, the bank
must estimate the loss severity. This estimate is also called the “loss given default”
(LGD). The third measure is the amount at risk in the event of default (exposure at
default, or EAD). This represents the nominal value of the assets at the time of
default. The fourth element is the maturity (M), which is considered an explicit risk
component. Banks will make their own estimate of PD, but the LGD and EAD
would be provided by their supervisors. These risk parameters are inserted into a
supervisory formula, the output of which is the bank’s risk-based capital requirement
for the asset.
Under F-IRB approach, the risk-based capital requirement for an asset is a
measurement of the unexpected losses on the asset. The banks must categorize
banking-book exposures into broad classes of assets with different underlying risk
characteristics: corporate, sovereign, bank, retail, and equity. Within some of the
classes, there are subcategories. Under corporate, there are five subclasses: project
financing (i.e., power plant), object financing (i.e., aircraft, ship), commodities
financing (i.e., crude oil, metals, or crops), income-producing real estate (i.e., office
buildings, warehouse space), and high-volatility commercial real estate (i.e., land
acquisition for development). Under retail there are three subclasses as well.
The Advanced Internal Ratings-Based (A-IRB) Approach. U.S. bank
supervisors have selected the advanced internal rating-based approach for U.S. Basel
II banks, because it would allow the selected banks to use more of their existing
internal assessments and management technology to calculate their regulatory capital
requirements. More recently, questions have been raised as to the readiness of
international banks for the A-IRB approach. Consequently, the Basel Committee is
now engaged in the fifth quantitative impact study (QIS5) to determine the abilities
of these institutions to carry out the Basel II requirements in Europe and Asia. Like
the foundation approach, first the bank must determine its PD for all assets. The bank
must also estimate its LGD and its EAD, plus its M for each asset. For each
exposure, the risk weights would be a function of these parameters. Securitization
and equity exposures are different, and retail exposures do not use M.
To calculate the capital charge, the bank’s portfolio would be broken down into
five categories: corporate, retail, bank, sovereign, and equity. Supervisory approval
is needed before a bank can use its own internal ratings-based approach for these five
categories. After the bank determines the PDs, LGDs, and EADs for all exposures,
these parameters are mapped into risk-based capital requirements for the portfolio.
These risk-based capital requirements include unexpected (a deviation measure)
losses only.



Measuring Capital Adequacy for Operational Risk
For Basel II banks, operational risk is “the risk of direct or indirect losses
resulting from inadequate or failed internal processes, people, systems, or external
events.”27 Basel II offers three methods for calculating the minimum regulatory
capital for operational risk. They include the basic indicator approach, the
standardized approach, and the advanced measurement approach (AMA). Banks are
expected to use the approach or approaches most suited to their operations.
However, the banks must qualify to use the standardized approach and the AMA.
Furthermore, once a bank has been approved for a more- advanced method of
calculation, it may not revert to a simpler approach without prior approval. On the
other hand, the primary supervisor of the bank may force a bank to use a less-
advanced method to calculate its operational risk if the bank’s operation warrants
such a change. As previously mentioned, the agency proposed to make only one of
the approaches described below — the Advanced Management Approach (AMA) —
applicable to U.S. Basel II banks.
The Basic Indicator Approach. The minimum regulatory capital a bank
must hold for operational risk is equal to 15% of its positive annual gross income
averaged over the previous three years. Any year that gross income was negative or
zero should be excluded from the calculation.
The Standardized Approach. The standardized approach first divides the
bank’s activities into eight lines of business: corporate finance, trading and sales,
retail banking, commercial banking, payment and settlement, agency services, asset
management, and retail brokerage. Gross income within each line of business serves
as a proxy for the scale of business operation and therefore is used as the weight of
risk exposure within the lines of business. The minimum capital for each line of
business is calculated by multiplying the gross income from that line by a fixed
percentage ($). The total minimum regulatory capital requirement is calculated as
a three-year average of the sum of the minimum regulatory capital across each
business line annually. In any year, negative changes due to negative gross income
may offset positive changes in other lines of business without limits. On the other
hand, if the aggregate capital charge for all the business lines is negative for a given
year, the input in the numerator will be zero.
The Advanced Measurement Approach (AMA). In order for a bank to
use the advanced measurement approach to calculate its minimum regulatory capital
for operational risk under the Basel II framework, the bank must be approved by its
primary supervisor. To qualify for AMA, the bank’s board of directors and senior
management must demonstrate that they are actively involved in the oversight of the
operational risk management of the bank. The bank’s operational risk management
system must be proven conceptually sound and implemented with integrity with
sufficient resources, controls, and audits in the major lines of business. In addition,
the bank must meet a long list of qualitative and quantitative standards set by the
framework and needs the approval of the bank’s primary supervisor.


27 Operational Risk Consultative Document, Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, Jan.

2001, [http://www.bis.org/publ/bcbsca07.pdf]



Although the AMA does not specify the approach or the assumptions the bank
uses, it requires the bank to demonstrate that its operational risk measures meet a
soundness standard comparable to that of the internal ratings-based approach for
credit risk. The bank needs to have a credible, transparent, well documented, and
verifiable approach for weighting these fundamental elements in its overall
operational risk measurement system. For example, there may be cases where the
internal and external estimates of event data would be unreliable for business lines
because of a small number of observed losses. In such cases, scenario analysis,
business environment, and other control factors may play a more dominant role in the
risk measurement system. As mentioned previously, only the AMA approach to
operational risk will be used by the U.S. banks subject to Basel II.
Is Procyclicality No Longer a Concern?
Some U.S. bank supervisors and academics have expressed concerns about the
procyclical characteristics of Basel II.28 Procyclicality means that banks would be
able to disproportionately expand lending when economic activity is expanding and
would be required to disproportionately contract lending when economic activity is
contracting. This is so because in economic expansions lending is less risky, and the
framework would require less regulatory capital, fueling the credit expansion. In
economic contractions, when lending tends to be more risky, the framework would
require higher levels of capital, slowing or possibly preventing banks from lending.
While there is logic to the pattern, it could also be contrary to the intent of monetary
policy to ease credit and expand lending to reverse a contraction, or to tighten credit
and slow lending when the economy is overheated and likely to become inflationary.
Too much procyclicality, in other words, has a destabilizing tendency on the
economy. 29
The June 2004 version of Basel II compensates for this procyclical bias through
the supervisory review process (pillar two): supervisory review could make capital
adjustments called “cyclical buffers.” The amount of supervisory adjustments made
would be determined by stress test data, among other considerations. The stress tests
are simulations of sharply adverse conditions. For each bank, the stress tests supply
information — such as how long the bank’s current level of capital would last under
adverse conditions — that is used as input to supervisory decisions to modify
required capital. Supervisory review places a critical responsibility on bank
supervisors in times of recession. The fact is that the more accurately regulatory
capital is tied to risk, the greater the regulatory incentive for appropriately priced risk
taking. Supervisory calming of risk-taking fears in adverse climates is critical to the
efficient use of capital. The issue remains about the accuracy of any pillar two
supervisory adjustments over the business cycle, and whether or not these
supervisory adjustments would be applied correctly across institutions.


28 Testimony of Donald E. Powell and John D. Hawke, Jr., before the U.S. Congress, House
Financial Services Committee, Subcommittee on Domestic and International Monetary
Policy, Trade and Technology, Feb. 27, 2003, [http://financialservices.house.gov/
me dia/pdf/022703j h.pdf].
29 Anil Kashyap and Jeremy Stein, “Cyclical implications of Basel II capital standards,”
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Economic Perspectives, First Quarter 2004, p. 18.

How the Accords Compare
Table 5 compares the capital charges that a bank would be required to hold
under pre-Basel standards, under Basel I, and under Basel II, using a single category
of bank asset — a $100 commercial loan — with different risk ratings. Table 5 does
not cover the proposed modifications of Basel I announced in the October 6, 2005,
ANPR because the proposed changes were not specific enough to allow comparable
estimates at this time. The three credit ratings are AAA, the safest rating, BBB, a
middle risk rating, and a B rating, a low grade and the riskiest on this table. Table
5 shows that before Basel I, the minimum capital requirement for these three risk
grades of commercial loans would have been determined by the judgment of the bank
examiners and supervisory agency. Under Basel I, a more rigid system would have
required a fixed 8% of the loan regardless of the actual and varying risk of default.
Under Basel II, a range of possible capital amounts would result. The exact amount
would rest on the judgment of the bank and its examiners and supervisory agencies
and would vary according to general economic conditions for any given credit rating.
Consequently, for the B-rated $100.00 commercial loan, a capital requirement could
range from $3.97 to $41.65, a wide range that implies considerable supervisory
discretion and considerable variation in LGD characteristics of corporate credits.
Table 5. Minimum Capital Required for a $100.00 Commercial
Loan Before Basel I, After Basel I, and Under Basel II
AAA Credit RiskBBB Credit RiskB Credit Risk
Before Basel ISupervisorySupervisory Supervisory
J udgme nt J udgme nt J udgme nt
After Basel I$8.00$8.00$8.00
Under Basel II$0.37 to $4.45 and$1.01 to $14.13$3.97 to $ 41.65
Advance InternalaSupervisory and Supervisoryand Supervisory
Ratings-BasedJudgmentJudgment Judgment
Source: Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. [http://www.fdic.gov/bank/analytical/fyi/2003/
011403fyi.html] .
a. Calculations reflect representative lower and upper bounds to be held in support of the $100.00
commercial loan. The quality of these loans refers to one-year default possibilities
corresponding to the historical average for the given rating. The calculations include an
operational risk charge, which is determined by using the basic indicator approach where capital
charge is equal to 15% of the institutions average gross income over the previous three years.
Return on assets (1.41%) is a proxy for average gross income. This is multiplied by the amount
of the loan ($100.00) as an estimate of operational risk (.15x $1.41=$.21). Lower bound reflects
an LGD of 10% (high recovery) with a one-year maturity loan. Upper bound reflects an LGD
of 90% and a five-year maturity loan.



Remaining Concerns about Basel II
Basel II is, in some ways, a work in progress. Some specific requirements of
banks within nations that subscribe to the accord are left up to national regulators.
The broader framework requires bank management and bank supervisory authorities
to be more involved than before in determining minimum bank capital. The
expected outcome is a much more risk-sensitive risk management system. As
mentioned previously, the agency expects about 20 large U.S. banks will be operating
under Basel II by the implementation date of January 2009. The agency assumes that
most of these institutions are already operationally “disposed” (meaning they are
technologically capable to operate under Basel II) to this system, running complex
risk-assessment models, and handling risk through a wide variety of hedges and other
insurance. However, one of the most important acknowledgments not reported in the
findings of the fourth quantitative impact study (QIS4) is that the selected banking
institutions were not as operationally disposed as they said they were for adopting
Basel II. QIS4 showed that the capital savings for particular institutions was larger
than expected. For this reason, the agency revised its Basel II implementation plans,
capping the allowable capital savings during the transition period. The works in
progress, Basel II and the modifications to Basel I, have some remaining concerns,
including the cost and complexity and the market competitive changes they are likely
to bring about to the participating institutions.
Cost and Complexity
The agency has sought comment on a revised capital standard framework for
U.S. banks: Basel II for 10 to 20 large international banks and a modified Basel I for
the remaining 8,000 or so smaller banks. The agency has also asked for comment on
whether remaining on the existing Basel I standards should be an option.
Consequently, the agency has opened the possibility of a trifurcated capital standard
framework for U.S. banks: Basel II for 10 to 20 large international banks, a modified
Basel I, and the existing Basel I standards for the 8,000 or so smaller banks. The
regulatory burdens of these proposed new capital standards are yet to be determined.
However, if the capital savings that Basel II and the modified Basel I promise are
realized, the new frameworks would be beneficial to the adopters, and Basel I could
be abandoned. On another aspect, the results of the quantitative studies suggest that
the large banks are incurring some cost in making themselves operationally
disposed30 to Basel II. At the same time, the studies also indicate that the capital
savings for adopting banks could exceed 20%. Capital savings of such magnitudes
would make it easier for banks to absorb the additional cost of compliance. At the
same time, these savings would place non-adopting banks at a significant competitive
disadvantage, which would induce them to embrace the newer standards. On the


30 The cost of implementation may impact adopting Basel II and modified Basel I. However,
because many larger banks have already invested in risk-management processes including
personnel, software, and hardware in order to conduct their day-to-day operations, the costs
of implementing Basel II are expected to be relatively lower than for the smaller banks
adopting the modified Basel I because the modifications in Basel I may not require totally
new investments.

other hand, the initial caps the agency placed on the allowable capital savings could
slow the migration to the newer standards.
The regulatory capital requirements for U.S. banks would be far more complex
under the agency’s new Basel II proposals. For mandatory Basel II banks and those
banks opting for Basel II as stated in the NPR, senior executives would be required
to sign off and be accountable for the integrity of the internal management systems
and processes that generate the data for determining bank capital. These executives
must ensure that their internal systems can stand up to regulatory scrutiny and will
be held liable (liability and penalties are not yet clear) if they are found negligent in
these duties. Covered banks must have already made or be willing to make major
investments to upgrade their core data processing systems and information
technology architectures. In addition, internal audit and control functions must be
able to collect extensive internal data and be operational in time to meet the January
2012 implementation.. In short, before 2012, these banks must already have taken
on the cost of re-engineering their management governance structure and their
operations in the context of Basel II.31
Market Competitiveness
While there might be significant market competitive issues to be addressed
between a bank’s selection of Basel I, the modified Basel I, and Basel II, it is
premature to have a meaningful discussion of what those issues are at this time. In
contrast, the international competitive issues are more clear. The European Union
(EU), for example, is implementing Basel II in all member countries. The delay in
implementing Basel II in the United States may place U.S. banks at a disadvantage
in the EU because Basel II institutions are likely to be required to hold less regulatory
capital to support the same level of assets. Furthermore, foreign banks under Basel
II with subsidiaries in the United States could be forced to use the most costly Basel
II methods to calculate their regulatory capital in these subsidiaries, which may put
the United States at a disadvantage in attracting these banks. In short, the lack of
synchronisation of the implementation and the lack of uniformity of frameworks
could make it difficult to achieve a level, competitive playing field for international
banking.
Congress and Basel II Implementation
Although Congress may choose to act on the Basel accords, the accords are not
international treaties needing congressional approval. They are international banking
regulation recommendations, which U.S. bank regulators helped to develop. The
Federal Reserve has taken the lead as the nation’s central bank. For example, Basel
I was originally a proposal of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York to the Basel
Committee in 1986. Its standards were adopted by the monetary authorities in the G-
10 countries as guidelines in 1987. The agreement to use Basel I as a common
approach to evaluate bank capital adequacy came in 1988 with an effective date at


31 These requirements could be as stringent, if not more so, than those already required
under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act.

the end of 1992. Congress did not make the agreement a formal part of U.S. banking
law in 1991. Instead, Congress mandated that U.S. regulators adopt a risk-based
standard in determining capital requirements. However, by 1991, the regulators had
already required banks under their supervision to use Basel I to calculate their
regulatory capital. The leverage ratio requirements coupled with prompt corrective
action were major modifications that were applicable to U.S. banks and not other
Basel I adopting countries. Similarly in the case of Basel II, U.S. regulators have
been both instigators and participants. William J. McDonough, retired president of
the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, was also chairman of the Basel Committee
on Bank Supervision at the BIS when Basel II was first announced. However, it is
important to note that to successfully implement capital standards in the United
States, all federal regulators must agree to the changes in the existing standards,
because of the U.S. functional and competitive regulatory structure.32
The purpose of the United States Financial Policy Committee for Fair Capital
Standards Act (H.R. 1226) is to set up “a mechanism for developing uniform United
States positions on issues before the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision at the
Bank for International Settlements, to require a review on the most recent
recommendation of the Basel Committee for an accord on capital standards, and for
other purposes.” Such a committee does not exist today. However, the members of
the committee would consist of all the members of the agency. The bill was
introduced partly in response to disagreements among the members of the agency in
congressional hearings.33 If the agency fails to overcome the problems that Basel II
implementation has encountered since the consultative document was published in
2003, Congress might move to enact H.R. 1226. The review committee it would
establish would be headed by the Secretary of the Treasury. The bill would have the
review committee undertake many things that the agency currently does such as
report the accord to Congress. However, the report to Congress would come prior
to agreement to any future Basel accord. The evaluation of new accords would have
to consider factors, such as cost and complexity, laid out in the bill, and the review
committee would have to report its evaluations to Congress.
This bill (H.R. 1226) has been reintroduced in the 109th Congress, succeeding
H.R. 2043 in the 108th Congress that was marked up by the subcommittee


32 See CRS Report RL33036, Federal Financial Services Regulatory Consolidation: An
Overview, by Walter W. Eubanks.
33 Christian Bruce, “Agencies Spar Over Capital Requirements As Discord Persists on Basel
II Agreement,” BNA Banking Report, May 16, 2005, p.1, [http://ippubs.bna.com/
NWSSTND/IP/BNA/bar.nsf/Sear chAllV iew/09D20CE5C743FB1F85257001000A97AE
?Open&highlight=BASEL,II,REGULATORS,DISAGREEE]; Ethan Zindler, “At Senate
Hearing, a Chorus of Basel II Criticism,” American Banker, Nov. 14, 2005. p. 4; Christian
Bruce, “Hawke Voices More Doubts on Basel II, Says Flexibility Needed for Target
Dates,”BNA Banking Report, Dec. 22, 2003, p. 1, [http://ippubs.bna.com/NWSSTND/IP/
B N A / b a r . n s f / S e a r c h A l l V i e w / DFC30642EF8A67A485256E020009AE10?Open&h ighl i g
ht = HAW K E ,V OICES,M ORE,DOUBT S ,ON,BASEL,II] .